How should I use this result?

Treat it as a fast decision aid. For execution-sensitive trades, check live bid, ask, fees, and slippage before acting.

Does this assume Polymarket-style binary settlement?

Unless a tool says otherwise, outputs assume binary shares settle to either $1 or $0 at resolution.

EV & SizingFree utility

Compute expected value per share and for a given stake size.

ev calculatorexpected valuepolymarket ev

Adjust live

Calculator setup

Enter your assumptions and this tool will update immediately.

True probability

Entry price

Stake (USD)

Instant

Primary output

$11.54

Expected value

Live resultReady to copy

EV per share

$0.0600

Shares purchased

192.31

Keep the workflow moving with the next most relevant calculators.

Edge Calculator

Measure the gap between your probability and the market's.

Kelly Bet Size

Estimate full-Kelly bankroll sizing for a binary share trade.

Fractional Kelly Sizer

Scale Kelly sizing down to a more survivable fraction.

CRRA Utility Bet Size

Optimize stake size for a chosen level of risk aversion.