How should I use this result?

Treat it as a fast decision aid. For execution-sensitive trades, check live bid, ask, fees, and slippage before acting.

Does this assume Polymarket-style binary settlement?

Unless a tool says otherwise, outputs assume binary shares settle to either $1 or $0 at resolution.

ConversionsFree utility

Convert between probability and log-odds for Bayesian-style workflows.

logitlog oddsprobability converter

Adjust live

Calculator setup

Enter your assumptions and this tool will update immediately.

Input mode

Value

Instant

Primary output

0.5322

Logit

Live resultReady to copy

Probability

63.000%

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