How should I use this result?

Treat it as a fast decision aid. For execution-sensitive trades, check live bid, ask, fees, and slippage before acting.

Does this assume Polymarket-style binary settlement?

Unless a tool says otherwise, outputs assume binary shares settle to either $1 or $0 at resolution.

Fees & ArbitrageFree utility

Combine two beliefs under an explicit independence assumption.

and or probabilityindependent eventsprobability combiner

Adjust live

Calculator setup

Enter your assumptions and this tool will update immediately.

P(A)

P(B)

Operator

Instant

Primary output

14.00%

P(A and B)

Live resultReady to copy

Notes

This assumes independence. Use it as a rough combining helper only.

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